Predictions for the February 2021 Nubia elections

During the February 2021 Nubia elections, several people published their predictions for the results. These were made public prior to the winners being announced, and several predicted most races correctly.

Summary of predictions

Below is a table summarizing predictions by candidates.

Winning projections

Source	Minister of Cultural Affairs	Minister of Defence	Minister of Foreign Affairs	Minister of Municipal Development	Minister of Trade and Commerce	Accuracy
cadenstolethetoe	Mengan_	Lopile	gorkymoo1119	StarKiller1744	Likely Thee_Boss	5/5 positionsTemplate:Refn
gorkymoo1119	Toss-up	Lopile or StarKiller1744	gorkymoo1119	Mengan_	Likely Thee_Boss	3/4 positionsTemplate:Refn
StarKiller1744	Mengan_	UsualKostas	gorkymoo1119	Toss-up between candidates other than himself	cadenstolethetoe	3/5 positions
Thee_Boss	Mengan_	StarKiller1744	gorkymoo1119	Mengan_	Thee_Boss	3/5 positionsTemplate:Refn

Notes

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Predictions by Minister race

Many sources only predicted a few races, due to the likeliness of a toss-up in several positions.

Minister of Cultural Affairs

• cadenstolethetoe projected Mengan_ to be the winner for this position.
• gorkymoo1119 projected the position to be a toss-up.
• StarKiller1744 projected Mengan_ to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected Mengan_ to be the winner for this position.

Minister of Defence

• cadenstolethetoe projected Lopile to be the winner for this position.
• gorkymoo1119 projected Lopile or StarKiller1744 to be the winner for this position.
• StarKiller1744 projected UsualKostas to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected StarKiller1744 to be the winner for this position.

Minister of Foreign Affairs

• cadenstolethetoe projected gorkymoo1119 to be the winner for this position.
• gorkymoo1119 projected himself to be the winner for this position.
• StarKiller1744 projected gorkymoo1119 to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected gorkymoo1119 to be the winner for this position.

Minister of Municipal Development

• cadenstolethetoe projected StarKiller1744 to be the winner for this position.
• gorkymoo1119 projected Mengan_ to be the winner for this position.
• StarKiller1744 projected the position to be a toss-up between the candidates running other than himself.
• Thee_Boss projected Mengan_ to be the winner for this position.

Minister of Trade and Commerce

• cadenstolethetoe projected Thee_Boss to be the probable winner for this position.
• gorkymoo1119 projected Thee_Boss to be the probable winner for this position, however also projected that it could potentially be cadenstolethetoe.
• StarKiller1744 projected cadenstolethetoe to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected himself to be the winner for this position.