Predictions for the January 2021 Nubia elections

Prior to the January 2021 Nubia elections, several people published their predictions for the results. Due to them being published prior to the announcement of candidates, many predictions included citizens who did not run.

Summary of predictions

Below is a table summarizing predictions by candidates. Accuracy was low due to the predictions being published prior to candidates announcing their intentions to run.

Winning projections

Source	Minister of Cultural Affairs	Minister of Defence	Minister of Foreign Affairs	Minister of Municipal Development	Minister of Trade and Commerce	Accuracy
gorkymoo1119	iamkeg	Wandering_Hero	blackphoenix1011	Toss-up, likely glennjerman	cadenstolethetoe	1/4 positions
Thee_Boss	iamkeg or Lopile	ArcaPlays or Driifter	Yoshigamer1298	cadenstolethetoe or Marked_TCC	UsualKostas	1/5 positions

Predictions by Minister race

Many sources only predicted a few races, due to the likeliness of a toss-up in several positions.

Minister of Cultural Affairs

• gorkymoo1119 projected iamkeg to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected iamkeg or Lopile to be the winner for this position, saying it depended on 'who was most active'.

Minister of Defence

• gorkymoo1119 projected Wandering_Hero to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected ArcaPlays or Driifter to be the winner for this position.

Minister of Foreign Affairs

• gorkymoo1119 projected blackphoenix1011 to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected Yoshigamer1298 to be the winner for this position.

Minister of Municipal Development

• gorkymoo1119 projected the position to be a toss-up, but likely glennjerman to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected cadenstolethetoe or Marked_TCC to be the winner for this position.

Minister of Trade and Commerce

• gorkymoo1119 projected cadenstolethetoe to be the winner for this position.
• Thee_Boss projected UsualKostas to be the winner for this position.

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